Well, making promises during election campaign is easy. Now to look for the money to implement populist promises is a whole different kettle of fish. One of the reasons why there are so few tax payers in Thailand, I suppose is due the cash economy. I am sure there are many more rich people but not paying taxes.
Anyhow, I don't envy the Finance Minister in this case. It is still too early to gauge the Government's performance but one thing for sure, the poor is full of hope. It will be good to help them, though. Good luck!
Until the next time, cheers.
The Nation on 7, September, 2011
Middle class may rebel against populist policies
The small number of people who actually pay taxes in Thailand are being forced to finance potentially disastrous schemes they don't support
It is now almost certain that the Yingluck government
will not make balancing the budget one of its policy priorities, largely
because the Pheu Thai Party has to fulfil its campaign promises to
supporters. But has the government asked the nation's small number of
taxpayers whether they want these massive spending schemes?
Over
the past few weeks, news debates have focused on the consequences of the
government's populist schemes such as the reduction of the Oil Fund
levy and the controversial minimum wage hike. Their political
supporters, especially those with low-incomes, will certainly welcome
these policies because they will suddenly make these people feel that
they have more money in their pockets to spend.
But the
consequences for the country will be negative in the long term. After
all, these policies will simply add to the government's fiscal burden.
Higher public debt could eventually force the government to raise taxes
to pay for all these schemes.
It is still not clear exactly how
the government will finance these populist schemes. The administration
says it will not borrow more money, but it is unlikely to find
additional revenue from other sources.
Some of these schemes were
drafted hurriedly to persuade people to vote for the Pheu Thai Party.
The extensive debate over the pros and cons of these policies shows that
the party did not carefully gauge the consequences or even the
feasibility of such policy implementation.
The details of these
policies are confusing, and Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra cannot
give clear answers on how they are supposed to be implemented. Pheu Thai
for instance promised during the campaign to raise the daily minimum
wage nationwide to Bt300. But now the government says the promise
actually means something different and it will start only in seven
provinces.
The government also pledged to provide a tax deduction
for first-time buyers of cars, even though the buyers' target group is
those on low incomes who are not subject to paying taxes.
Some
taxpayers have been watching the government use their money to finance
Pheu Thai Party promises, and they are very sceptical about the
government's motives. During several debate forums, people have
questioned the necessity and urgency to implement these projects. Their
concerns are about whether their money is being well spent or
squandered. These views are now being raised far more frequently.
The
country's tax revenue is provided by only a small group of people.
According to statistics released last year, only 2.3 million people
nationwide pay personal income tax to help finance public spending for
the country's population of more than 64 million. Some 9 million people
file personal income tax returns each year, but the majority are exempt
from tax liability as they earn less than Bt20,000 per month.
In
the meanwhile, middle-income earners have been squeezed between the rich
and poor. Some 60,000 people each year pay taxes in the highest bracket
of 37 per cent, which applies for an annual income of more than Bt4
million per year. This group of 60,000 accounts for as much as 50 per
cent of total personal income tax collected each year. And a full
one-third of income tax collected is paid by just 2,400 people in the
country who earn over Bt10 million per year. The richest 20 per cent of
the population accounts for 54 per cent of total income, while the
poorest 20 per cent accounts for just 4.8 per cent, according to the
Finance Ministry.
The Yingluck government's populist policies are
unlikely to address this inequality in income figures. But even worse,
they could make the gap even wider.
The minimum wage issue is
likely to seriously affect small and medium-sized business operators.
Business conglomerates with the right connections are more likely to
benefit from these massive projects, while the small benefits from the
populist schemes are certainly aimed to attract low-income earners.
Worse
still, some people are becoming addicted to these government handouts.
They have lost the will to take responsibility for their own lives and
choose to wait for the help of others. The middle class, most of them
law-abiding taxpayers, are being put under greater pressure from these
unpredictable policies.
While Yingluck acknowledged the external
risk when she first assumed the premiership, her government has so far
failed to formulate policies to create jobs and sustain growth. The
government has only implemented piecemeal populist policies for
short-term benefits.
This small group of taxpayers does not
expect a populist windfall to benefit them, but it does expect a decent
return for hard work and a productive, fair and conducive environment
for their businesses to thrive on. Unfortunately, their voices are being
ignored by the government.